Suns vs Trail Blazers Picks and Predictions for March 11

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Updated: March 11, 2021

Chris Paul and the Suns have sneakily been the NBA’s second-best ATS team this season, at 24-11 ATS, just one game behind headline-stealing Utah.

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The Phoenix Suns look very much for real. After injecting Chris Paul into a promising young core, the Suns have shone brightly this year, sitting second in the West (24-11 SU) and owning the NBA’s second-best net rating (6.73). 

They look to keep the heat on the rest of the conference Thursday night as they visit the Portland Trail Blazers, who Damian Lillard has kept afloat through waves of injuries.

Let’s break down this NBA betting matchup with our Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks and predictions for March 11.

Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers betting preview

Injuries

Suns: Devin Booker SG (Probable), Cam Johnson SF (Out). 
Trail Blazers: Harry Giles III PF (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Trail Blazers.

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The line opened at Phoenix -4.5, with the total at 227. Early action has been split on the spread, with slight action on the Over. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

For all the noise the Utah Jazz have rightfully made with their ATS destruction this season, the Suns aren’t far off at a stellar 24-11 ATS, just a game back of Utah’s pace. 

The Suns are the only team other than Utah to rank in the Top 10 in both offensive and defensive rating, flexing the type of two-way versatility that makes for truly dominant teams, and is difficult to game-plan against. 

This is especially true for a one-way squad like Portland, who ranks 28th on defense and is severely shorthanded with CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic – easily its second and third-best players – still on the chilling list. 

Lillard may also find life somewhat difficult with CP3 marking him, and the Suns may even be so bold as to switch Mikal Bridges onto Lillard for added quickness and length. 

Dame Time has done a remarkable job keeping Portland above water in the West, but this is one matchup that’s just too tough, even for him. 

PREDICTION: Phoenix -4.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

Portland and Phoenix are the NBA’s 11th and 12th-highest scoring teams this season, combining for 228.1 points per game, a notch above this game’s 227 total. 

The fact that both of these squads play at bottom-10 paces (Portland is 23rd, Phoenix 28th) suggests an Under, as does the fact that Phoenix is a fairly brutal defensive matchup for Lillard, who is the lifeblood of Portland’s entire offense. 

Phoenix checked Lillard to just 24 points (he averages a hair under 30 on the season) on 1-for-7 3-point shooting when these teams met on February 22, which seems like a bit of an outlier. 

That said, count on Lillard to consider this a revenge spot, along with some adjustments from shrewd maneuverer Terry Stotts, in a game where Portland can only hope to compete by out-scoring Phoenix.

It’s close, but with fresh legs all around, we’re feeling an Over here.

PREDICTION: Over 227 (-110)

Suns vs Trail Blazers betting card

  • Phoenix -4.5 (-110)
  • Over 227 (-110)

NBA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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