Timberwolves vs Kings NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 20

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Updated: April 20, 2021

Karl-Anthony Towns is having a huge April, averaging 27.6 points and 11.3 rebounds for the month. He should have his way with a thin Kings frontcourt that surrenders an NBA-worst 53.4 points per game in the paint.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Tuesday’s matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings has everything hoop bettors could want: two crap teams with postseason pipe dreams and a 10 p.m. ET tipoff – the last game on the NBA betting board.

Call it the “Degenerate Special” or the “Get Even or Get Even Deeper Game.” Whatever it is, the finale of tonight’s NBA slate will draw plenty of action and attention. The T-Wolves make stop No. 2 on their four-game road run while the Kings come off a nine-game slump-busting win at Dallas.

Here are our free picks and predictions for Timberwolves vs. Kings on April 20.

Timberwolves vs Kings odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Sacramento opened as a 3.5-point home favorite and climbed to -4 briefly before being bet back down to the original spread. The total hit the board at 237.5 points and quickly was steamed to 239 with early play on the Over. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Timberwolves at Kings betting preview

Injuries

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns F (Questionable), Malik Beasley G (Out), Jaylen Nowell G (Questionable).
Kings: Marvin Bagley F (Out), Richaun Holmes C (Out), Robert Woodard G (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Timberwolves are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Kings.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

In all fairness, the Kings still have some motivation on the table thanks to the NBA’s play-in tournament. Sacramento’s victory in Dallas not only stopped the bleeding of a nine-game slide before this back-to-back set with Minnesota but kept the Kings within mathematical striking distance of the No. 10 spot in the West.

One of those past nine losses was a 116-106 defeat at Minnesota on April 5 in which Sacramento was outscored 34-24 in the fourth quarter. The Timberwolves, who average only 110.2 points per game on the season, do the bulk of their damage in the final 12 minutes, averaging 28.4 fourth-quarter points an outing (third most in the NBA).

Part of that production speaks to the T-Wolves’ poor quality, with opponents holding bigger leads over Minnesota late into games and rolling out reserves while taking their foot off the gas (see: outscoring the Clippers 36-20 in the fourth quarter Sunday). But you have to give Minnesota some credit, especially the bench which is chipping in with an average of 40.1 points off the pine.

Minnesota’s reserves have been especially helpful in April, pouring in more than 45 points a contest and lessoning the letdown when the T-Wolves look to rest their starters. That’s a stark contrast to Sacramento, which relies heavily on the starting lineup for minutes and buckets. The Kings milk their first five for an NBA-high average of 32.3 minutes per starter while getting only 30.7 points a game from the bench — the second-lowest mark in the league.

Despite Sunday’s one-sided loss to Los Angeles, Minnesota has shown plenty of fight this month and will have star big man Karl-Anthony Towns in action even after leaving that game with an apparent knee injury. Towns trashed the Kings for 23 points and 13 rebounds on April 5 and faces a Sacto frontcourt missing the big bodies of Marvin Bagley and Richaun Holmes.

PREDICTION: Minnesota +3.5 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

Sacramento’s losing skid had a lot to do with offense or, more accurately, no offense.

The Kings scored just over 109 points per game over those nine losses, keeping Under bettors in the black with a 3-6 Over/Under count in that span. That includes the loss at Minnesota which stayed below the 237.5-point total thanks to just 109 points from Sacramento.

Tuesday’s opening total was set at that very same mark (before getting steamed up 1.5 points) and the Kings are coming off their best offensive effort in almost three weeks, scoring 121 points in Sunday’s win over the Mavericks. With injuries to the frontcourt, the Kings are running smaller and faster, boasting a pace rating of 102.22 in April compared to 100.53 in the first four months of play.

Minnesota enters this game among the NBA’s bottom-feeders in defensive metrics (alongside Sacramento) and has gone Over in six of its last nine contests overall. The T-Wolves allowed L.A. to knock down 51 percent of its looks on Sunday, including a 21-for-42 mark from beyond the arc. Sacramento isn’t the most dangerous team from outside but does make more than 12 triples on almost 37 percent shooting at home this year.

PREDICTION: Over 239 (-110)

Player prop pick

Towns should have plenty of room to operate down low against a thinned Sacramento frontcourt missing two key pieces. The Kings are left with veteran 7-footer Hassan Whiteside as the anchor in the middle but have very little size behind him on the active roster.

Even with a healthy frontcourt, Sacramento is second last at defending the hoop within five feet, watching foes shoot 64.8 percent from inside that radius, and give up an NBA-worst 53.4 points in the paint per game on the year.

Towns enters Tuesday’s contest having a fantastic April. While he left Sunday’s blowout to the Clippers with 16 points and six rebounds after just 25 minutes, KAT’s averaging 27.6 points and 11.3 rebounds this month.

PREDICTION: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 39.5 points + rebounds (-120)

Timberwolves vs Kings betting card

  • Minnesota +3.5 (-110)
  • Over 239 (-110)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 39.5 points + rebounds (-120)

Picks made 04/20/2021 at 10:40 a.m. ET.

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