Usman vs Burns Headlines Feb. 13

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Updated: February 11, 2021

Gilbert Burns was set to face Kamaru Usman at UFC 251 but withdrew due to a late positive COVID-19 test. He now gets his title shot at UFC 258, where he is a +200 underdog.

UFC 258 odds are on the board for a loaded fight card on Saturday, February 13. In the main event, Kamaru Usman will put his welterweight title on the line against No. 1 challenger Gilbert Burns.

UFC betting odds previously been out for the headline matchup when it was originally expected to take place last summer. But after Burns dropped out due to COVID-19, and Usman dismantled Jorge Masvidal on short notice, the champion is an even bigger favorite this time around at -275.

Here are the UFC odds for the main event and every other bout on the UFC 258 card:

Where Will UFC 258 Take Place?

UFC 258 will take place at the APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada. The octagon at the APEX has a diameter of 25-feet, making it five feet smaller than the standard UFC cage.

Who Is Fighting At UFC 258?

In addition to the main event, other big fights linked to the card include Maycee Barber vs. Alexa Grosso, Kelvin Gastelum vs. Ian Heinisch and Julian Marquez vs. Maki Pitolo.

Usman vs Burns Betting Action

Nick Kalikas, MMA oddsmaker at Circa Sports, opened this fight on Jan. 10 at Kamaru Usman -240/Gilbert Burns +205. Two days before UFC 258, it’s out to Usman -270/Burns +230. “This is definitely one of the most anticipated welterweight title fights we’ve seen put together in a while. Since our line went up, we’ve written more overall tickets on Burns, but the bigger bets have been on Usman. We’ve also seen some decent parlay action on both gentlemen thus far, with slightly more tied into Usman. For now, we’ve adjusted our pricing accordingly, but I do think we’ll see some large straight bets come in on the underdog Burns by post.”

Barber vs Grasso Betting Action

Alexa Grasso opened a -130 favorite at Circa Sports, with Maycee Barber +110, and on Thursday, it’s closing in on pick ’em at Grasso -115/Barber -105. “Huge fight in the women’s’ flyweight division,” Circa Sports’ Nick Kalikas said. “Both ladies looking to pick up a big win and move one step closer to a title shot. We’ve seen a decent amount of two-way action from the start. Lots of conflicting opinions on how this one plays out, and we’re seeing that reflected at the betting window.”

Gastelum vs Heinisch

Circa Sports opened Kelvin Gastelum -225 to Ian Heinisch’s +195, and the fight stretched to Gastelum -240/Heinisch +205, but on Thursday shortened to Gastelum -210/Heinisch +180. “We started seeing some respectable ‘dog action, so we adjusted our pricing, and the market reacted accordingly,” Circa MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas said. “Heinisch is looking to pick up the biggest win of his career with a win over former title contender Gastelum. The other side of this is Gastelum looking to stop a three-fight losing skid and get back in the mix at 185.”

Other UFC 258 Betting Action

Circa Sports MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas pointed to the Polyana Viana vs Mallory Martin women’s strawweight bout on the preliminary card Saturday night. The fight opened Martin -170/Viana +150 and is now Martin -155/Viana +135. “Surprisingly, this one’s been a very popular fight at the betting window. We’ve seen a decent amount of sharp action on both ladies, and I’d expect this to continue the entire way. For an under-the-radar type of fight, I love seeing the amount of action we’re getting.”

UFC 258 Opening Odds

Weight Class Favorite Odds Underdog Odds
Welterweight Kamaru Usman -270 Gilbert Burns +230
Women’s Flyweight Alexa Grasso -115 Maycee Barber -105
Middleweight Kelvin Gastelum -210 Ian Heinisch +180
Women’s Flyweight Miranda Maverick -145 Gillian Robertson +125
Middleweight Julian Marquez –165 Maki Pitolo +145
Lightweight Bobby Green -280 Jim Miller +235
Welterweight Belal Muhammed -400 Dhiego Lima +325
Welterweight Gabriel Green -135 Philip Rowe +115
Featherweight Ricky Simon -235 Brian Kelleher +200
Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira -385 Anthony Hernandez +315
Women’s Strawweight Mallory Martin -155 Polyana Viana +135

Odds courtesy of Circa Sports

Covers UFC 258 Betting Analysis

UFC 258 Odds for Title Fights

Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns

The reigning champion Usman enters UFC 251 on a 16-fight winning streak and is a perfect 11-0 in his UFC career. He’s fresh off a dominating decision victory against Jorge Masvidal at UFC 251 last July. Burns was originally lined up for that title shot but pulled out after testing positive for COVID-19 just a week before.

Usman was a -205 favorite for that earlier matchup with Burns but is currently a -275 favorite for UFC 258. The “Nigerian Nightmare” began his career as a wrestling-specialist and cardio machine but has since rounded out his talents, becoming an impressive striker as well.

Burns and Usman have trained together for years with Sanford MMA in Florida, with Usman even in Burns’ corner at some fights. Burns comes into the octagon as a +225 underdog and is riding a six-fight winning streak after defeating Tyron Woodley in a dominating performance last May.

“Durinho” has jumped between the lightweight and welterweight divisions, making the move back to the 170-pound weight class last August. Burns began his MMA career as more of a grappling specialist but has improved his striking under the tutelage of renowned kickboxing coach Henri Hooft. 

Where Can I Bet on UFC Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.


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