Wisconsin vs Baylor March Madness Odds, Picks and Predictions March 21

Updated: March 19, 2021

Jared Hochman

Mar 19, 2021 – 10:22 PM ET

The Wisconsin Badgers conquered their struggles against big men in defeating UNC. But now they have to deal with a dynamic backcourt – maybe the most dynamic backcourt – when they face the No. 1 seeded Baylor Bears in a second-round college basketball betting matchup.

The South Region saw a couple of major upsets on Day 1—will Baylor be the next to bow out early?

See our thoughts in our free March Madness picks and predictions for Wisconsin vs. Baylor on March 29. 

Wisconsin vs Baylor odds

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The early line at some online sportsbooks opened at Baylor -6, with the total at 137.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Wisconsin Badgers vs Baylor Bears betting preview


Wisconsin: None.
Baylor: None.

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Betting trend to know

The Over is 11-2 in the Bears’ last 13 games as a favorite. Find more NCAA betting trends for Wisconsin vs. Baylor.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Wisconsin went into its first game of the NCAA Tournament just 3-7 SU (3-6-1 ATS) in their last 10 games, struggling immensely against big men and facing a UNC squad that had more size than any other team in the nation.

The Badgers responded by laying an 85-62 beating on the Tar Heels, but are we sold on Wisconsin?

Wisconsin shot 13 for 27 from beyond the arc in the win, its second-most triples in a game this year and forcing a young and inexperienced UNC backcourt into 38.5 percent shooting from the field.

The top-seeded Baylor Bears, on the other hand, are the exact opposite of UNC. Baylor features a three-headed veteran backcourt that leads the nation’s third-highest scoring offense and is No. 3 in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency.

Baylor, which still has the second-best March Madness odds, had been a little inconsistent heading into the Big Dance, following a COVID-disrupted schedule, but flexed its muscles in an easy 79-55 win over No. 16 Hartford. Yes, the Bears failed to cover a 25-point spread, but we can forgive them as the backups were running the ship for the final minutes.

The Bears’ strength – a veteran backcourt – matches up perfectly against Wisconsin’s best aspects…and they’re even better. Baylor also shot just 33.3 percent from beyond the arc against Hartford, well below its season average of 41.8 percent.

We’re expecting the Bears to get better with each Tournament game, with the Badgers coming back down to Earth after an uncharacteristic offensive explosion, so give us the top dogs in the South to roll on to the Sweet 16.

PREDICTION: Baylor -6 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

Wisconsin is 22nd in the nation with 69.6 points per game, but it is 33rd in adjusted offensive efficiency and hit the Over for the fifth time in its last six games.

The Badgers were able to clear the 136 total (by 11 points) against a UNC club that shot poorly and is more defensively oriented, but they are only facing a total that is 1.5 points higher on Sunday—against a Baylor team that is far more superior on offense and not quite as proficient on the defensive end.

We’re not expecting the Badgers to hit 48 percent of their threes again (they normally hit treys at a 36 percent clip) but facing a truly elite Bears offense should make up for that and push this game Over the total.

PREDICTION: Over 137.5 (-110)

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Team total pick

Check back later for a team total pick once markets are live!

Wisconsin vs Baylor betting card

  • Baylor -6 (-110)
  • Over 137.5 (-110)

March Madness parlays

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Use our March Madness parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on March Madness odds?

March Madness is one of the most popular times of the year for sports bettors, which of course makes it one of the busiest times of the year for online sportsbooks. Every betting site will offer March Madness odds but the top sites are safe and secure, offer a wide range of banking options, and give you a ton of markets for each game. Check out the best March Madness betting sites in your region.

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